The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell explained the decision to keep the policy rate steady at the 4.25%–4.50% range after the June meeting and addressed questions during the post-meeting press conference.
Here are the key points from Powell's press conference:
- Inflation has been slightly above target.
- The current policy stance is favorable.
- PDFP, excluding net exports, has grown solidly.
- Trade policy concerns have led to a decline in sentiment.
- Unemployment remains low and stable.
- The labor market is well-balanced.
- Labor market conditions do not cause inflation.
- Labor conditions are in line with maximum employment.
- Total PCE prices rose 2.3%, core 2.6% in May.
- Short-term inflation expectations have increased, driven by tariffs.
- Most long-term inflation expectations are consistent with 2% inflation.
- The impact of tariffs will depend on the level, with expected increases this year likely to affect economic activity and inflation.
- Maintaining long-term inflation expectations is crucial for avoiding persistent inflation.
- It is important to prevent one-time price increases from leading to ongoing inflation issues.
- Price stability is essential for long periods of low unemployment.
- The Fed is well-prepared to wait and gather more information before considering policy adjustments.
- Fed policymaker projections are subject to high uncertainty.
- The Fed's projections are not set in stone.
- After the review in late summer, potential changes to communications will be considered.
- Recent months have shown favorable inflation readings.
- Core services inflation has been declining.
- Goods inflation is expected to rise in the summer.
- It takes time for tariffs to impact consumers.
- Companies are likely to pass on tariff effects to consumers.
- It is appropriate to maintain the current policy stance while more information is gathered.
- The policy is in a good place and ready to respond to developments.
Source: FXStreet