Federal Reserve Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged Amid Economic Uncertainty

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Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell explained the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged at the 4.25%–4.50% range following the June meeting and responded to questions during the post-meeting press conference.

The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell explained the decision to keep the policy rate steady at the 4.25%–4.50% range after the June meeting and addressed questions during the post-meeting press conference.

Here are the key points from Powell's press conference:

  • Inflation has been slightly above target.
  • The current policy stance is favorable.
  • PDFP, excluding net exports, has grown solidly.
  • Trade policy concerns have led to a decline in sentiment.
  • Unemployment remains low and stable.
  • The labor market is well-balanced.
  • Labor market conditions do not cause inflation.
  • Labor conditions are in line with maximum employment.
  • Total PCE prices rose 2.3%, core 2.6% in May.
  • Short-term inflation expectations have increased, driven by tariffs.
  • Most long-term inflation expectations are consistent with 2% inflation.
  • The impact of tariffs will depend on the level, with expected increases this year likely to affect economic activity and inflation.
  • Maintaining long-term inflation expectations is crucial for avoiding persistent inflation.
  • It is important to prevent one-time price increases from leading to ongoing inflation issues.
  • Price stability is essential for long periods of low unemployment.
  • The Fed is well-prepared to wait and gather more information before considering policy adjustments.
  • Fed policymaker projections are subject to high uncertainty.
  • The Fed's projections are not set in stone.
  • After the review in late summer, potential changes to communications will be considered.
  • Recent months have shown favorable inflation readings.
  • Core services inflation has been declining.
  • Goods inflation is expected to rise in the summer.
  • It takes time for tariffs to impact consumers.
  • Companies are likely to pass on tariff effects to consumers.
  • It is appropriate to maintain the current policy stance while more information is gathered.
  • The policy is in a good place and ready to respond to developments.



Source: FXStreet
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